Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.024570 0.029659 0.035003 0.040988 0.047465 0.054226 0.061783
2026-01-11 0.017089 0.024168 0.032150 0.041610 0.052343 0.063989 0.077445
2026-01-18 0.012259 0.020269 0.029911 0.041886 0.055963 0.071663 0.090206
2026-01-25 0.008943 0.017381 0.028201 0.042198 0.059135 0.078427 0.101592
2026-02-01 0.006328 0.014788 0.026387 0.041992 0.061375 0.083860 0.111232
2026-02-08 0.003761 0.011555 0.023247 0.039735 0.060827 0.085783 0.116602
2026-02-15 0.002335 0.009645 0.021604 0.039157 0.062146 0.089759 0.124226
2026-02-22 0.001513 0.008507 0.020891 0.039679 0.064740 0.095186 0.133491
2026-03-01 0.000934 0.007580 0.020356 0.040342 0.067440 0.100688 0.142801
2026-03-08 0.000604 0.007073 0.020407 0.041769 0.071089 0.107326 0.153448
2026-03-15 0.000306 0.006360 0.020007 0.042487 0.073765 0.112732 0.162593
2026-03-22 0.000276 0.006685 0.021434 0.045873 0.079976 0.122532 0.177045
2026-03-29 0.000024 0.005218 0.019529 0.044377 0.079815 0.124584 0.182395
2026-04-05 NaN 0.004642 0.019203 0.045221 0.082802 0.130611 0.192627
2026-04-12 NaN 0.003977 0.018575 0.045539 0.085038 0.135671 0.201670
2026-04-19 NaN 0.003393 0.017996 0.045870 0.087251 0.140677 0.210628
2026-04-26 NaN 0.002751 0.017125 0.045655 0.088660 0.144620 0.218251
2026-05-03 NaN 0.001771 0.015055 0.043297 0.086943 0.144458 0.220725
2026-05-10 NaN 0.001283 0.014084 0.042692 0.087655 0.147399 0.227016
2026-05-17 NaN 0.001045 0.013795 0.043238 0.090005 0.152461 0.235947
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000858 0.013602 0.043931 0.092554 0.157777 0.245192
2026-05-31 NaN 0.000790 0.013853 0.045423 0.096273 0.164633 0.256371
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000645 0.013709 0.046172 0.098889 0.170031 0.265716